Economic Commentary – September 8, 2025

The data being released in the next few days should cause a certain amount of acid reflux, both in global financial markets and in Washington, D.C. One statistic that seldom generates much attention outside of economic circles is the annual benchmark revision (think of it as a “true-up” with all the now-available data) in US […]

Investment Commentary – September 8, 2025

Executive Summary Financial markets have weathered months of policy-driven volatility, and after a nearly 20% decline, the S&P 500 has regained all its losses and set numerous all-time highs. What remains is a sharply higher effective tariff rate and uncertainty about the impact of 2026 corporate earnings, consumer demand, and economic growth. While easing tensions […]

Weak Jobs, Strong Cuts? Market Caught Between Labor and Fed – September 8, 2025

Good morning, Friday’s August employment report came in weaker than already low expectations—disappointing equity markets but giving bond investors some comfort. Even so, the damage to stocks was modest, with the S&P 500 Index finishing down just –0.30% on the day and up +0.37% for the week. Traders quickly reframed the weak jobs data as […]