Good morning,
Following a week that was essentially a push — the S&P 500 Index slipped just -0.31% — both stocks and bonds are starting the week higher (futures +0.5%) with less than two days to go before a potential government shutdown.
Markets appear just as unfazed by the looming shutdown as they were by last week’s tariff announcements: 100% on branded drugs, 25% on heavy-duty trucks, 50% on kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities and related products, and 30% on upholstered furniture.
No government? No problem. That seems to be the market’s message this morning. While a prolonged shutdown could become disruptive, perhaps investors have seen enough of these episodes to give Washington the benefit of the doubt.
This week is all about employment data — though, ironically, we’ll only receive the numbers if the government stays open. Predicting the next few days of political maneuvering is impossible, but the market seems confident it will be resolved quickly. See you Friday.
Be well,
Mike