RS Logo

Weekly Commentary

Labor’s Long Evolution: Productivity, Prosperity, and the Future of Work

Worth Watching 

  • National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Survey for August, released Tuesday, September 8 
  • US Producer Price Index for August, released Thursday, September 10 
  • US Consumer Price Index for August, released Friday, September 11 
  • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey, preliminary for September, released Friday, September 11 

Labor Carries The Day . . . Or Does It? 

In honor of Labor Day, a thought-provoking chart on US labor seems appropriate. 

A good chart raises as many questions as it provides answers. This one is no exception. Numerous developments across this same 1979-to-present time period have occurred that may have something to say about the picture (which, by the way, is a picture that has been painted quite consistently by other data and other researchers). The first generation IBM Personal Computer was released in August 1981. In the 1980s, it became apparent that the creation of value (production of goods and services) in technology sectors was less labor-intensive than other industries. In the 1990s, stock options moved out of the executive suite and into regular worker compensation in technology, finance, and select other industries and occupations, supplementing hourly pay and salaries. Union membership peaked in 1979 at approximately 25% of the labor force — with indirect influence on as much as an additional  quarter to one-third of workers— and fell steadily over the ensuing 4 decades. US labor force growth slowed from roughly 2.5% at the start of the 1980s to near zero today, while at the same time, US corporate profitability rose more than 6% on average and the corporate profits share of GDP rose from approximately 7% to more than 13% in 2025. The productivity of American workers has consistently been credited with the dominant economic growth and relatively low inflation of the US economy compared to other developed economies in the world, and so the question looms large today: Will this pattern continue, what will it require and how does the American workforce best benefit from its critical role in economic expansion?

Suggested Reading 

Disclosure and Source

Investment advisory services offered through Robertson Stephens Wealth Management, LLC (“Robertson Stephens”), an SEC-registered investment advisor. Registration does not imply any specific level of skill or training and does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission. This material is for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice. It does not constitute a recommendation or offer to buy or sell any security, has not been tailored to the needs of any specific investor, and should not provide the basis for any investment decision. Please consult with your Advisor prior to making any Investment decisions. The information contained herein was carefully compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but Robertson Stephens cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Information, views and opinions are current as of the date of this presentation, are based on the information available at the time, and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. Robertson Stephens assumes no duty to update this information. Unless otherwise noted, any individual opinions presented are those of the author and not necessarily those of Robertson Stephens. Indices are unmanaged and reflect the reinvestment of all income or dividends but do not reflect the deduction of any fees or expenses which would reduce returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Forward-looking performance targets or estimates are not guaranteed and may not be achieved. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Alternative investments are only available to qualified investors and are not suitable for all investors. Alternative investments include risks such as illiquidity, long time horizons, reduced transparency, and significant loss of principal. This material is an investment advisory publication intended for investment advisory clients and prospective clients only. Robertson Stephens only transacts business in states in which it is properly registered or is excluded or exempted from registration. A copy of Robertson Stephens’ current written disclosure brochure filed with the SEC which discusses, among other things, Robertson Stephens’ business practices, services and fees, is available through the SEC’s website at: www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. © 2026 Robertson Stephens Wealth Management, LLC. All rights reserved. Robertson Stephens is a registered trademark of Robertson Stephens Wealth Management, LLC in the United States and elsewhere. A3810

Talk To Us