Risk-On Rally as the Fed Fine-Tunes Policy and Market Leadership Broadens
Executive Summary Last week, markets leaned risk-on as the Fed delivered its third consecutive rate cut and investors doubled down on the soft-landing narrative. Stocks wavered early but rallied after Wednesday’s Fed decision, with the S&P 500 and Dow moving back toward all-time highs. The Russell 2000 set record highs on consecutive days, and the […]
2025’s Unexpected Strength, 2026’s Unanswered Questions
As the year draws to a close, where do we find ourselves? Most likely, not where many of us thought we would be. Economic growth of 2.7-3%, inflation of 2.7-3%, a rising stock market, and falling interest rates… out-of-context (even in-context), this stands as a remarkably positive positioning for the start of 2026. The trade uncertainties that have […]
Should You Open a Trump Account for Your Child? A Balanced Guide for Parents
Between the headlines about the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and Michael Dell’s $6.25 billion donation, many have been asking whether these new accounts should be opened for children or grandchildren. Below is a straightforward look at how the accounts work and where they may fit into a broader wealth transfer plan. A Trump Account is a […]
Could a DNA Test Reveal an Unknown Heir and Disrupt Your Estate Plan?
DNA services such as 23andMe have made it far more common for biological children – sometimes entirely unknown to the family – to surface after a parent’s death and assert inheritance rights. While this remains an unlikely scenario, it is more plausible today than ever before. Many state laws rely heavily on biological relationships, especially […]
Markets Rally Through Data Fog as Fed Expectations Drive Sentiment
Executive Summary Markets extended their rally in October, rising for a seventh straight month despite intra-month volatility and uncertainty around a December rate cut. The government shutdown has ended, but it has left a gap in economic data, making it difficult to analyze the economy. Despite this data vacuum, optimism around a third consecutive rate […]
Economic Momentum Builds as Companies Shift Focus to 2026
Lessened concern about consumer spending weakness in December, and optimism about end-of-year economic growth, risks overlooking the intense focus of American business on 2026 profitability. Adjustments to the global trade changes introduced by tariff policy and other actions continue to unfold, and labor force decisions for the first half of the coming year — always top-of-mind […]
Markets Rebound as Fed Signals December Rate Cut
Executive Summary Last week, the equity market staged a broad rebound, recovering a portion of November’s losses. The rally was sparked by commentary from the Federal Reserve suggesting a December rate cut is back on the table. Major equity indices rallied sharply, with gains spread across sectors and factors. Small-cap stocks were the standout performers, […]
Consumer Sentiment vs. Spending: A Holiday Season Disconnect
Economists have long cautioned against using consumer sentiment surveys to forecast consumer spending. Statistically, income growth is the overwhelming determinant of consumer expenditures, with a lesser, but significant, contributory role played by changes in wealth. Retirement accounts and home equity constitute more than 60% of US Household wealth and these two important components of wealth, like […]
Strategic Charitable Giving Before 2026: Maximize Your Deductions Under OBBBA
As we enter the final weeks of the year, it is an important moment to revisit charitable giving strategies, especially given the meaningful tax changes taking effect in 2026 under OBBBA. For those who donate regularly, front-loading charitable gifts this month may help maximize deductions before the new limitations begin. In 2026, OBBBA will introduce […]
September Metrics Establish Baseline Amid Limited Government Reporting
Economic data for September continues to gush out like water at the end of a fire hose. The problem seems to be that September feels like a LONG time ago. Nevertheless, reports on September employment (last week), and Producer Prices and Retail Sales (both this week), help to establish the base on which the economy is […]
Holiday Estate Planning Conversations: How to Share Your Plan With Family
It’s that time of year again! The holidays give many families a chance to gather in one place, creating an opportunity to have conversations about the future. Even a small step now – sharing your thoughts on aging, care, or estate plans – could help prevent confusion, conflict, or stress down the road for your […]
Hawkish Fed, Weakening Labor Data, and Markets Pushing Cuts to 2026
Executive Summary The recent odds of a December cut have been going down to 44% and a 56% chance of a hold. With that said, there are now three cuts priced into 2026, so the bond market more or less is pushing out the rate cut into next year. Regardless, the Fed is becoming increasingly […]